Probability

Maths · Class 11

Lesson 3 of 11 · 7 min

Algebra of events

NCERT §14.1.3

The dice stall pays out on two separate signs: 'Prime wins a pen' and 'Odd wins a balloon'. A visitor rolls a 3 and claims both. Another rolls a 2. What does each sign's event look like, and how do the two combine?

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The lesson in notes

In short

Events are sets, so they combine with the set operations studied in the Sets chapter: complement, union, intersection and difference.

Complement, the event 'not A': A′ = S − A = {ω : ω ∈ S, ω ∉ A}. It occurs exactly when A does not.

Three coins: A = {HTH, HHT, THH} is 'only one tail appears'. Its complement is A′ = {HHH, HTT, THT, TTH, TTT}; an outcome such as HTT means 'not A' happened.

'A or B' = A ∪ B: the outcome lies in A, in B, or in both. 'A and B' = A ∩ B: the outcome lies in both.

'A but not B' = A − B = A ∩ B′: the outcome lies in A and outside B.

Die thrown twice: A = 'first throw is six' has 6 outcomes, and B = 'sum at least 11' has just three, (5,6), (6,5) and (6,6). Only (6,5) and (6,6) lie in both, so A ∩ B is the event 'first throw six and sum at least 11'.

NCERT's Example 1: on a die let A = prime = {2, 3, 5} and B = odd = {1, 3, 5}. Then A ∪ B = {1, 2, 3, 5}, A ∩ B = {3, 5}, A − B = {2} and A′ = {1, 4, 6}.

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